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大而不强!工业机器人行业现过热端倪

据媒体报道，工信部目前正在制定行业准入条件，以提高准入门槛，严控工业机器人高端产业低端化和低端产品产能过剩风险。
机器人大量使用，是近年来制造业企业转型升级的突出特点。统计显示，自2013年成为世界最大工业机器人市场后，我国工业机器人使用量大幅攀升。2014年全国销售工业机器人超5.7万台，增长54%；2015年销量增至6.8万台；2016年机器人安装量更是高达8.5万台，超过全球新增工业机器人数量的30%。
专业机构预测，2017年我国工业机器人销量将达10.2万台，累计保有量将接近45万台，本土机器人企业的市场占有率从2012年的不足5%，增至2017年的30%以上；2020年，我国工业机器人保有量将达80万台以上，潜在市场需求价值近5000亿元。
今年4月，工信部发布了《机器人产业发展规划（2016—2020年）》（以下简称《规划》）。根据该《规划》，2020年中国国产品牌的工业机器人年产量目标为10万台。目前，工业机器人已广泛服务于国民经济37个行业大类，91个行业中类。2016年，3C(计算机、通信设备和其他电子设备)制造业和汽车制造业，在国产工业机器人销售总量中占比分别为30%和12.6%。
转型升级带来的巨大需求，造成了行业出现过热的苗头。据统计，国内重点发展机器人产业的省份有20多个，机器人产业园区40余个。近两年，机器人企业数量从不到400家迅速增至800余家，而产业链相关企业超3400家。其中，仅浙江机器人企业数量就有280余家。赛迪研究院装备所所长左世全坦言：“我国机器人产业存在一定程度的过热，低水平重复建设、盲目上马的现象在部分地区的确存在。”
工业和信息化部副部长辛国斌近日表示，机器人领域高端产业低端化和低端产品产能过剩的风险，已经引起了有关部门高度重视。
有专家指出，中国工业机器人行业中，国外品牌占据了中国工业机器人市场60%以上份额，技术复杂的六轴以上多关节机器人，国外公司市场份额约90%；作业难度大、国际应用最广泛的焊接领域，国外机器人占84%；高端应用集中的汽车行业，国外公司占90%份额。2016年，国产品牌的工业机器人销量达到2.2万台，市场占有率为32.5%，首次突破三成。而在2013年，国产品牌的工业机器人市场占有率仅为25%，其余的市场份额为发那科、ABB以及安川电机等外资机器人企业所斩获。
尽管近年来，我国企业虽然在机器人核心部件精密减速器、伺服电机等研发上取得了“点”的突破，并已投产，但我国企业在机器人核心技术方面还有很大差距，可靠性仍需持续提升。此外，对焊接、手术医疗等复杂技术的掌握很不够，尤其在感知和控制技术、人机交互技术等方面，需加速追赶。
专家指出，如何由数量、速度型转变为质量、内涵型，是当前本土机器人产业发展最大的问题。以广东东莞为例，该地区从事与机器人产业相关企业超200家，但大多数或购买国外设备集成，或采购国外核心零部件组装，有知识产权的不到1/3。
低端产能过剩，也与各地政府的补贴有关。据赛迪研究院、中国机器人产业联盟等单位调查发现：不少地方政府部门或通过补贴用户间接支持，或对机器人生产企业直接给予技改资金、股权投资、首台套保费补助等资金扶持。这些地方扶持政策在推动产业发展的同时，也会诱发导致重复建设、恶性竞争等问题，导致企业产品质量参差不齐，削弱了用户使用自主机器人的信心。
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